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cs0564
11-17-2006, 12:24 AM
Another day, another record for the Dow
Stocks surge on optimism over falling consumer prices, raft of deals

NEW YORK - Stocks gained for a fifth straight session Thursday, with the Dow Jones industrial average achieving its third straight record close on optimism over falling prices and an economy that appears to be gliding in for a 'soft landing.'

The Labor Department said falling gas prices helped push the Consumer Price Index lower last month, and energy prices could head lower still as oil prices plunged on futures markets to their lowest level of the year.

Investors also took a cue from a wave of major acquisitions suggesting that the flurry of private equity buyouts would continue. Clear Channel Communications Inc., the giant owner of radio stations and billboards, is being taken private by investors in a deal worth nearly $19 billion news, while Reader’s Digest Association Inc. is going private in a $1.6 billion deal.

Stocks also gained after the Philadelphia Fed reported that its index of manufacturing conditions rose to 5.1 from negative 0.7 in October. A positive reading signifies growth. Regional economic conditions “improved slightly” in November, but indicators for new orders and employment weakened.

Ethan Harris, chief U.S. economist at Lehman Bros., said stocks are likely to keep rising because of strong corporate profits and balance sheets, even as the overall economy could show strains.

“It’s much too early to declare victory over inflation,” Harris said. “You’ve got a significant amount of labor cost pressure building. Labor costs are a double whammy for stocks because they can slice into earnings and they can mean a tougher Federal Reserve.”

Kim Caughey, equity research analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group, also remains concerned about wage increases but notes that third quarter profits were generated when energy costs were higher. Crude hit its high for the year in July.

“I think these numbers validated the thesis about energy prices having been the main component of inflation early this year,” she said of the Consumer Price Index, adding that she is now mainly concerned about increases in wages.

The Dow Jones industrial average finished the day up 54.11 points, or 0.4 percent. It was the 17th time the index has hit a record close since early October.

Financials and the consumer discretionary sectors led the rally, while energy stocks moved lower as commodity prices fell. The price of light, sweet crude fell more than $2 a barrel to its lowest level of the year on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Bonds fell sharply, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rising to 4.66 percent from 4.62 percent late Wednesday. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

In economic news, the 0.5 percent drop in the Consumer Price Index, the key measure of inflation, matched the decline in September and marked the first two-month drop since late last year. The core inflation figure, which strips out volatility-prone prices for food and energy, rose 0.1 percent, the smallest increase in eight months.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3683270/

Drocket
11-17-2006, 12:59 AM
This is something I've considered posting about myself, but I view it in a completely different light. The stock market, which has been dead most of Bush term, has only started to rise as we've gotten closer to the elections -and the more certain its looked that the Democrats would win, the higher it went. Once it because clear that the Democrats were going to take at least the House, about a month before the elections, it started going up significantly. After the elections, it went up even more. And after it became clear that the Democrats took the Senate too - as your article says, this is the fifth straight day of gains.

Bush doesn't get the credit here: the Democrats taking power does.

ECW
11-17-2006, 01:03 AM
This is something I've considered posting about myself, but I view it in a completely different light.**The stock market, which has been dead most of Bush term, has only started to rise as we've gotten closer to the elections -and the more certain its looked that the Democrats would win, the higher it went.**Once it because clear that the Democrats were going to take at least the House, about a month before the elections, it started going up significantly.**After the elections, it went up even more.**And after it became clear that the Democrats took the Senate too - as your article says, this is the fifth straight day of gains.

Bush doesn't get the credit here:**the Democrats taking power does.


Dammit. You beat me to the punch on this one, Drocket! I'll get you next time.

The market has never been a fan of Chimpy-nomics but they loved Bubba-nomics to death. Quadrupled in number in his eight years, barely made it back to the starting mark in Chimpy's six years. This ain't rocket science, fella.

Labrocca
11-17-2006, 01:04 AM
Always a conspiracy ehh...blame Bush but give him no credit for anything positive. Jeesh.

The market does like a stagnant government where they are too busy infighting to regulate much else. However it's the Bush economy that has helped us to recoup despite 9/11, katrina, oil increases and an expensive war. The economy has been stable and growing.

BoogyMan
11-17-2006, 01:56 AM
The market has never been a fan of Chimpy-nomics but they loved Bubba-nomics to death. Quadrupled in number in his eight years, barely made it back to the starting mark in Chimpy's six years. This ain't rocket science, fella.

Ummm, I hate to burst your bubble ECW, but under Bush's economic watch the market has reached new record heights. To say that a possible democrat win in congress was the reason for the Oct 2006 high DOW closings is laughable.

How about some supportive linkage to change my mind on the issue?

ECW
11-18-2006, 09:43 AM
This source proves that Republican presidents do not fare too well in increasing the economy or the DJI. Democratic presidents are better at doing that.

http://finance.yahoo.com/columnist/article/futureinvest/3022
************************************************** **
From January, 1993 when Clinton-Gore took office, until January, 2000 ? 7 full years ? the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose from 3310.00 to 10,940.50, a total of 230.5%

http://www.tysknews.com/Depts/Taxes/bull_clinton.htm

Chimpy fails this test.
***********************************************
http://homepage.mac.com/keithray/dowJonesPresidents.xls.pdf

1993Clinton 3754.09 +452.98
1994Clinton 3834.44 +80.35
1995Clinton 5117.12 +1282.68
1996Clinton 6448.27 +1331.15
(Clinton wins re-election)
1997Clinton 7908.25 +1459.98
1998Clinton 9181.43 +1273.18
1999Clinton 11497.12 +2315.69
2000Clinton 10786.85 -710.27
GWBush "wins" election
2001GWBush 10021.57 -765.28
2002GWBush 9834.26 -187.31
2003GWBush 10453.92 619.66
2004GWBush 9992.96 -460.96
2005GWBush 10,717.50 +724.54
2006GWBush 12,342.56 +1,625.06

Here's the rub: Clinton raised the DJI almost 7 thousand points while Chimpy has gotten 2 and a half thousand points. This is a conservative indicator and Chimpy fails the test here as well. Record heights? Well, it took him long enough to get the market back to where Bubba left it to him and Bubba had the dot.com bubble burst in his last year. Going from 10,000 to 12,000 ain't that big of a deal. In fact, over a six year period, that sucks.

Drocket
11-18-2006, 10:24 AM
2006GWBush 12,342.56 +1,625.06

And its worth mentioning that about 1000 points of this 2006 number have happened since September.

ECW
11-18-2006, 07:40 PM
2006GWBush 12,342.56 +1,625.06

And its worth mentioning that about 1000 points of this 2006 number have happened since September.


Oh, hallelujah! You think he might have finally gotten it right after six years of fumbling around? The housing market is just about to collapse. Let's see how he responds to that. That will be the test. Oh, yeah, are there a lot of jobs associated with this "turnaround" or are we just making the paper shufflers richer?